Atlanta @ New York picks

Juan Soto has turned into a run scoring machine of late. He has scored 17 times over his last 19 games and touched home plate at least once in 12 of those games, good for a 63% success rate. Soto has done a great job of getting on base in that span, hitting for average while also drawing plenty of free passes. He has recorded 21 hits over the last 19 while also walking 19 times. He’s gotten on base on 40 occasions, good for an average of more than two per game. If Soto gets on base, the Mets are well equipped to bring him home. We’ve seen that more and more over the last few weeks. Spencer Strider is a difficult pitcher to contend with but he is still shaking off the rust following major surgery. He has won only two of seven starts thus far and his ERA is nearly four. He is progressing but still not as untouchable as we’ve grown accustomed to seeing.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as the majors's 20th-best home run hitter.. Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.. Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game's 9th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as baseball's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game's 9th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 98°.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Brett Baty tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today's matchup.. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Michael Harris II tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Frankie Montas.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph.