Baltimore @ New York props

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ben Rice has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Over the last week, Ben Rice's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 0%. Ben Rice's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 93.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the worst venue in the league for righty BABIP. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Zach Eflin will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today's matchup. Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .486 figure is a fair amount higher than his .393 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Gary Sanchez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90-mph figure. Gary Sanchez's launch angle this year (20.1°) is a significant increase over his 15.8° angle last year. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (11.7° over the last week) is considerably better than his 7.6° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup. Jackson Holliday may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball hitters like Jackson Holliday tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jordan Westburg has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the last two weeks, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph of late. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jordan Westburg's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 40.8% to 48.3%.

In the past 7 days, Ramon Urias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 14.3%. Ramon Urias has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph. Over the past 7 days, Ramon Urias's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zach Eflin. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Austin Wells's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph of late. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21.1°) is significantly higher than his 16.9° angle last year.

Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage today. Cedric Mullins has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (25.5°) is significantly better than his 21.5° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 25.5°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 36.6° angle over the past two weeks.

Adley Rutschman has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .307 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Adley Rutschman's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 91st percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 21.4%. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.8-mph.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. In the past 7 days, Colton Cowser's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.8% up to 50%. Colton Cowser has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 103.9-mph over the past 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .331 mark is deflated compared to his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Giancarlo Stanton has posted a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Ramon Laureano has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°. Ramon Laureano has posted a .362 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile. Ramon Laureano has recorded a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's matchup. Trent Grisham pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.9-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge today. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zach Eflin.

DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.9-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that DJ LeMahieu has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .216 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side against Zach Eflin in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's game. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Jasson Dominguez has posted a .323 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson has posted a .368 BABIP this year, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Oswald Peraza has experienced some negative variance this year. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297. Oswald Peraza is notably toolsy, grading out in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.91 ft/sec this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, J.C. Escarra will have an advantage in today's matchup. J.C. Escarra will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.