Baltimore @ New York picks

The New York Yankees face Zach Eflin this evening, and Cody Bellinger has hit around the Baltimore Orioles righty. He’s 5-for-16 lifetime with a pair of long balls. Although Bellinger’s average is substantially better vs. lefties, his power plays more against right-handers with eight homers this year. 

Aaron Judge has piled up the bases all season long. He’s averaging an incredible 2.8 bases per game and has cleared 1.5 at a 63% rate.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Gary Sanchez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90-mph figure.. Gary Sanchez's launch angle this year (20.1°) is a significant increase over his 15.8° angle last year.. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (11.7° over the last week) is considerably better than his 7.6° seasonal mark.. Gary Sanchez has paced 24.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Jordan Westburg has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. In the last two weeks, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph of late.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Bats such as Aaron Judge with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zach Eflin who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage today.. Cedric Mullins has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (25.5°) is significantly better than his 21.5° angle last year.

When it comes to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's matchup.. Trent Grisham pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Over the past two weeks, Ramon Laureano has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°.. Ramon Laureano has put up a .364 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Giancarlo Stanton has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zach Eflin has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Gary Sanchez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90-mph figure.. Gary Sanchez's launch angle this year (20.1°) is a significant increase over his 15.8° angle last year.. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (11.7° over the last week) is considerably better than his 7.6° seasonal mark.. Gary Sanchez has paced 24.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Bats such as Aaron Judge with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zach Eflin who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.