Brewers vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Wednesday, September 10

The Brewers are significantly better on offense than the Rangers, and Freddy Peralta only bolsters that advantage as he will stifle Texas' bats. Merrill Kelly has been good, but Peralta has been much better.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Sep 10, 2025 • 10:02 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
TEX
42 %
MIL
58 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Milwaukee -135 Milwaukee -135
Read Analysis
Freddy Peralta Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Brewers ace Freddy Peralta celebrates a strikeout.

The Texas Rangers host the Milwaukee Brewers in the final matchup of this three-game series at Globe Life Field. 

My Brewers vs. Rangers predictions like the visitors with ace Freddy Peralta in fantastic form.

Read on for my MLB picks on Wednesday, September 10.

Brewers vs Rangers prediction

Brewers vs Rangers best bet: Brewers moneyline (-135)

The clear hitting advantage in this matchup goes to the Milwaukee Brewers, who rank in the Top 2 in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, and OBP. Meanwhile, the Texas Rangers rank in the bottom half of the league in each of those four categories.

Even with that gap, the advantage on the pitching side may even more starkly lean in the Brewers' direction

Milwaukee hands the ball to right-hander Freddy Peralta, who is likely to end the season as a Cy Young finalist. Through 29 starts, Peralta is 16-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.

His underlying metrics are equally impressive, ranking in the Top 25% of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate.

On the other hand, Rangers SP Merrill Kelly trails Peralta in all of those metrics.

The Brewers also boast the bullpen advantage with Milwaukee’s relief corps outranking Texas’ in xERA, FIP, xFIP, and WAR.

Brewers vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)

Peralta’s greatest strength is his ability to generate swings and misses. He currently ranks in the 80th percentile in whiff rate and 82nd in strikeout rate.

This strength has given guys like Jake Burger trouble, as he has six strikeouts through his 11 plate appearances against Peralta.

Brewers vs Rangers SGP

  • Brewers moneyline
  • Peralta Over 6.5 Ks
  • Burger Under 0.5 runs

Brewers vs Rangers odds

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee -135 | Texas +110
  • Run line: Milwaukee -1.5 (+135) | Texas +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-102) | Under 7.5 (-118)

Brewers vs Rangers trend

Milwaukee has won in 11 of Peralta’s past 15 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Rangers.

How to watch Brewers vs Rangers and game info

Location Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date Wednesday, September 10, 2025
First pitch 2:35 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Wisconsin, RSN
Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta
(16-5, 2.50 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher Merrill Kelly
(11-7, 3.16 ERA)

Brewers vs Rangers latest injuries

Brewers vs Rangers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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