Boston @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
BOS vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Rafael Devers and the Giants take on his former club, and there will be some added incentive to do well and beat the Red Sox. Behind solid pitching from Hayden Birdsong and a bullpen that's among the best, the Giants should pick up the win and rub salt in the Red Sox's wound.
MoneyLine

Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
The Giants own the seventh-best OPS in the league against ground-ball pitchers, an extreme split when you consider they’re just 27th against fly-ballers, and hitting inside a pitcher’s paradise like Oracle Park is only going to put the onus on Dobbins and the gloves behind him.
Total RBIs

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 24.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Roman Anthony with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hayden Birdsong who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 24.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Heliot Ramos will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Roman Anthony o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 24.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Roman Anthony with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hayden Birdsong who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Wilyer Abreu has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. Oracle Park ranks as the #29 stadium in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 24.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 24.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.. Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Willy Adames has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.