Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 9th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure.