Pittsburgh @ Chicago picks

While both teams have trended towards the Under across their last 10 games, a larger sample size at least points to the Cubs as a run machine. The hosts sit second in the majors with 382 runs this year, and only the Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston Red Sox have served up more hits.

The Chicago Cubs are in for a big day at the plate when they take on right-hander Mitch Keller. Throughout 90 at-bats, Chicago is hitting .322/.424/.600 against the right-hander. Take the home team to cover the run line.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Andrew McCutchen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 93-mph EV.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the league.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's game.. Kyle Tucker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 6th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.. The Barrel% of Oneil Cruz has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.7% last year to 24.6% this season.. Oneil Cruz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year's 95.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 6th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.. The Barrel% of Oneil Cruz has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.7% last year to 24.6% this season.. Oneil Cruz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year's 95.3-mph EV.