LIVE Bottom 6th Jul 8
NYM 2 -117 o10.0
BAL 5 +108 u10.0
LIVE Bottom 5th Jul 8
SEA 0 +115 o9.0
NYY 1 -124 u9.0
LIVE Top 7th Jul 8
MIA 10 +107 o9.0
CIN 1 -116 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 7th Jul 8
COL 0 +233 o8.5
BOS 6 -261 u8.5
LIVE Top 7th Jul 8
PIT 2 +120 o7.5
KC 1 -130 u7.5
LIVE Top 6th Jul 8
CHC 0 -127 o9.0
MIN 2 +117 u9.0
LIVE Top 5th Jul 8
TOR 5 -188 o8.5
CHW 0 +171 u8.5
LIVE Top 6th Jul 8
LAD 1 -104 o8.5
MIL 2 -104 u8.5
WAS +206 o8.0
STL -228 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 3rd Jul 8
CLE 5 +181 o7.0
HOU 1 -199 u7.0
TEX +102 o8.0
LAA -110 u8.0
AZ +125 o7.5
SD -136 u7.5
PHI +142 o8.0
SF -155 u8.0
ATL -110 o11.0
ATH +102 u11.0
Final Jul 8
TB 2 +111 o8.0
DET 4 -121 u8.0

Houston @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Typically, batters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Colton Gordon. As it relates to his batting average, Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year. His .327 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Typically, batters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Colton Gordon. As it relates to his batting average, Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year. His .327 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Houston

Brendan Rodgers
B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Brendan Rodgers generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. Brendan Rodgers has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 5.7% rate last season to 13.3% this year. Brendan Rodgers's launch angle this season (9.7°) is considerably higher than his 4.7° mark last year.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Brendan Rodgers generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. Brendan Rodgers has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 5.7% rate last season to 13.3% this year. Brendan Rodgers's launch angle this season (9.7°) is considerably higher than his 4.7° mark last year.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

12% of the time that Steven Kwan has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that Colton Gordon throws from, Steven Kwan has a tough challenge in today's game. In the past week, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.6 mph to 85.2 mph.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

12% of the time that Steven Kwan has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that Colton Gordon throws from, Steven Kwan has a tough challenge in today's game. In the past week, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.6 mph to 85.2 mph.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Angel Martinez
A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Angel Martinez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Angel Martinez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.3°) in the past 14 days. Angel Martinez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (9.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° angle last season.

Angel Martinez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Angel Martinez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Angel Martinez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.3°) in the past 14 days. Angel Martinez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (9.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° angle last season.

Jacob Melton Total Hits Props • Houston

Jacob Melton
J. Melton
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Batters such as Jacob Melton with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Jacob Melton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Batters such as Jacob Melton with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Daniel Schneemann
D. Schneemann
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Colton Gordon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Daniel Schneemann will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daniel Schneemann has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph EV. Compared to last year, Daniel Schneemann has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.3% to 19.8% this season.

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Colton Gordon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Daniel Schneemann will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daniel Schneemann has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph EV. Compared to last year, Daniel Schneemann has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.3% to 19.8% this season.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

Victor Caratini
V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. By putting up a .275 batting average since the start of last season, Victor Caratini is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. By putting up a .275 batting average since the start of last season, Victor Caratini is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

Jeremy Pena
J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best out of every team today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.3% to 8.5%.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best out of every team today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.3% to 8.5%.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

Jose Altuve
J. Altuve
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jose Altuve will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Jose Altuve has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6% to 13.5%.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jose Altuve will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Jose Altuve has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6% to 13.5%.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

Jake Meyers
J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jake Meyers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 44.4% to 51.4%. Jake Meyers has compiled a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jake Meyers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 44.4% to 51.4%. Jake Meyers has compiled a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

Mauricio Dubon
M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Mauricio Dubon will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen today. Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Mauricio Dubon has notched a .272 batting average since the start of last season.

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Mauricio Dubon will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen today. Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Mauricio Dubon has notched a .272 batting average since the start of last season.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Yainer Diaz
Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Yainer Diaz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 96.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 11.7% to 16.1%.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Yainer Diaz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 96.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 11.7% to 16.1%.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Nolan Jones will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nolan Jones has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94.4-mph figure. Nolan Jones's launch angle of late (27.3° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 13° seasonal figure.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Nolan Jones will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nolan Jones has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94.4-mph figure. Nolan Jones's launch angle of late (27.3° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 13° seasonal figure.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Christian Walker's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, putting up a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .049 deviation.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Christian Walker's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, putting up a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .049 deviation.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Houston

Isaac Paredes
I. Paredes
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 39.7% to 46.5%. As it relates to plate discipline, Isaac Paredes's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 39.7% to 46.5%. As it relates to plate discipline, Isaac Paredes's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jhonkensy Noel
J. Noel
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel's true offensive skill to be a .292, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .110 deviation between that figure and his actual .182 wOBA.

Jhonkensy Noel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel's true offensive skill to be a .292, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .110 deviation between that figure and his actual .182 wOBA.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage over Colton Gordon in today's game. Gabriel Arias has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Gabriel Arias are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colton Gordon. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage over Colton Gordon in today's game. Gabriel Arias has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Gabriel Arias are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colton Gordon. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Will Wilson Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Will Wilson
W. Wilson
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Will Wilson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colton Gordon in today's matchup. Will Wilson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Will Wilson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Will Wilson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colton Gordon in today's matchup. Will Wilson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Colton Gordon. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today. Posting a 1.35 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 90th percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Colton Gordon. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today. Posting a 1.35 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 90th percentile.

David Fry Total Hits Props • Cleveland

David Fry
D. Fry
designated hitter DH • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

David Fry is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. David Fry will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. David Fry's 19.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile.

David Fry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

David Fry is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand in today's matchup. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. David Fry will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. David Fry's 19.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Austin Hedges
A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Hedges has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph mark. Austin Hedges's 23.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 97th percentile.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Austin Hedges has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph mark. Austin Hedges's 23.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 97th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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