LIVE Bottom 7th Jul 7
TEX 4 -129 o7.5
LAA 5 +119 u7.5
LIVE Bottom 7th Jul 7
AZ 4 +106 o8.0
SD 1 -115 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 8th Jul 7
PHI 1 -140 o7.5
SF 1 +120 u7.5
Final Jul 7
TB 1 -110 o8.5
DET 5 -110 u8.5
Final Jul 7
MIA 5 +123 o9.0
CIN 1 -134 u9.0
Final Jul 7
COL 3 +211 o10.5
BOS 9 -234 u10.5
Final Jul 7
TOR 8 -158 o8.5
CHW 4 +145 u8.5
Final Jul 7
LAD 1 -131 o7.5
MIL 9 +121 u7.5
Final Jul 7
PIT 3 +129 o8.5
KC 9 -140 u8.5
Final Jul 7
CLE 7 +113 o7.0
HOU 5 -122 u7.0

Kansas City @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge today. There has been a significant improvement in Jonathan India's launch angle from last year's 13.3° to 17° this season. Despite posting a .292 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has been unlucky given the .044 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge today. There has been a significant improvement in Jonathan India's launch angle from last year's 13.3° to 17° this season. Despite posting a .292 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has been unlucky given the .044 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Victor Scott II
V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's game. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 19% on the season to 60% in the past week. Victor Scott II has put up a .340 BABIP this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's game. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 19% on the season to 60% in the past week. Victor Scott II has put up a .340 BABIP this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Salvador Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93-mph over the last 14 days.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Salvador Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93-mph over the last 14 days.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Loftin
N. Loftin
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Loftin will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Nick Loftin has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .196 actual batting average. Sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Loftin will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Nick Loftin has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .196 actual batting average. Sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado
N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.3° mark in the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.3° mark in the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Brendan Donovan
B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Brendan Donovan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.8% to 55.5% this season.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Brendan Donovan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.8% to 55.5% this season.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Over the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 30.8%.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Over the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 30.8%.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Maikel Garcia has posted a .367 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Maikel Garcia has posted a .367 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Ryan Vilade Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ryan Vilade
R. Vilade
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Vilade will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Ryan Vilade will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec since the start of last season, Ryan Vilade is quite fast.

Ryan Vilade

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Ryan Vilade will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Ryan Vilade will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec since the start of last season, Ryan Vilade is quite fast.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge today. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge today. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Willson Contreras
W. Contreras
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Mark Canha
M. Canha
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Mark Canha will have an edge in today's matchup. Mark Canha's launch angle this year (16.8°) is significantly better than his 9.5° figure last season. Sporting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mark Canha has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Mark Canha will have an edge in today's matchup. Mark Canha's launch angle this year (16.8°) is significantly better than his 9.5° figure last season. Sporting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mark Canha has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera
I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams today, the 9th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Over the past week, Drew Waters's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 18.2%. Drew Waters has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days. Drew Waters has recorded a .278 batting average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Over the past week, Drew Waters's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 18.2%. Drew Waters has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days. Drew Waters has recorded a .278 batting average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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