NYM -118 o10.0
BAL +109 u10.0
TB +111 o8.0
DET -120 u8.0
SEA +115 o9.0
NYY -124 u9.0
MIA +104 o9.0
CIN -113 u9.0
COL +250 o9.0
BOS -281 u9.0
PIT +120 o7.5
KC -130 u7.5
CHC -122 o9.5
MIN +113 u9.5
TOR -193 o9.0
CHW +176 u9.0
LAD -113 o8.5
MIL +105 u8.5
WAS +187 o8.0
STL -206 u8.0
CLE +177 o7.0
HOU -195 u7.0
TEX -114 o8.0
LAA +106 u8.0
AZ +121 o7.5
SD -131 u7.5
PHI +131 o8.5
SF -142 u8.5
ATL -115 o11.0
ATH +106 u11.0

Texas @ Tampa Bay props

George M. Steinbrenner Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

Evan Carter
E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today's game. Evan Carter pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Evan Carter has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 5.9% rate last year to 11.1% this season.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today's game. Evan Carter pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Evan Carter has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 5.9% rate last year to 11.1% this season.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today. Josh Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Josh Smith sits with a .277 batting average this year.

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today. Josh Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Josh Smith sits with a .277 batting average this year.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Wyatt Langford had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.3°.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Wyatt Langford had an average launch angle of 11.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.3°.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (21.2°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last season. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .052 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (21.2°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last season. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .052 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Matt Thaiss Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Matt Thaiss
M. Thaiss
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split. Matt Thaiss will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Thaiss's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.36 ft/sec now. Matt Thaiss has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

Matt Thaiss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split. Matt Thaiss will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Matt Thaiss's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.36 ft/sec now. Matt Thaiss has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Over the past week, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%. Jonah Heim has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 92-mph. In the last week, Jonah Heim's 85.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Over the past week, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%. Jonah Heim has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 92-mph. In the last week, Jonah Heim's 85.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball batters like Marcus Semien usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz. Over the last week, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph lately. Marcus Semien's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.8°) is significantly higher than his 13.5° figure last year.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball batters like Marcus Semien usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz. Over the last week, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph lately. Marcus Semien's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.8°) is significantly higher than his 13.5° figure last year.

Alejandro Osuna Total Hits Props • Texas

Alejandro Osuna
A. Osuna
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alejandro Osuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an edge in today's game.

Alejandro Osuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alejandro Osuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an edge in today's game.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 30%.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 30%.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 21.3%. Over the past two weeks, Josh Jung's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 21.3%. Over the past two weeks, Josh Jung's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Texas

Jake Burger
J. Burger
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jake Burger has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 14 days. Jake Burger has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure. Over the last 14 days, Jake Burger's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jake Burger has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 14 days. Jake Burger has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure. Over the last 14 days, Jake Burger's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.81 ft/sec this year, Jake Mangum is remarkably quick.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.81 ft/sec this year, Jake Mangum is remarkably quick.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in baseball. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Corey Seager's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph of late.

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in baseball. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Corey Seager's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph of late.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Kumar Rocker today... and even more favorably, Rocker has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage today.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Kumar Rocker today... and even more favorably, Rocker has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage today.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and moreover, Rocker has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and moreover, Rocker has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jose Caballero has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.7-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.8° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 51.6%.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jose Caballero has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.7-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.8° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 51.6%.

Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Kameron Misner
K. Misner
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Kameron Misner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split. Kameron Misner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Kameron Misner has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Kameron Misner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (86%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Kameron Misner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split. Kameron Misner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Kameron Misner has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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