Today's Best NRFI/YRFI Bets for Tuesday, July 8

Today's MLB slate features some highfliers that have seen a lot of production out of their offense as we dive into our expert MLB NRFI/YFRI picks for Tuesday's MLB action.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jul 8, 2025 • 13:33 ET • 4 min read
Logan Gilbert Seattle Mariners MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Logan Gilbert (36) delivers a pitch.

The Seattle Mariners have been mashing on the road while the New York Yankees have been mashing everywhere.

With the two offensive powerhouses clashing at Yankee Stadium tonight, my MLB picks are betting on a run to be scored in the first inning.

Here are my best free YRFI and NRFI bets for Tuesday, July 8.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

  • Pirates Pirates vs Royals Royals: NRFI
  • Guardians Guardians vs Astros Astros: NRFI
  • Mariners Mariners vs Yankees Yankees: YRFI

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NRFI/YRFI bets for July 8

Pirates at Royals: NRFI (-120 at ProphetX)

The Kansas City Royals are dead-last in the majors in OPS at home (.644). Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Pirates have an OPS of just .582 on the road —  the lowest number this century.

Both teams also have a pair of effective pitchers on the hill. Royals righty Seth Lugo has pitched to a sparkling 2.65 ERA with an OBA of .216 in 16 starts.

Buccos starter Mitch Keller has looked very sharp lately, posting a 3.08 ERA with a 2.92 FIP in his last 10 starts.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    Royals - FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
    Pirates - SportsNet-PIT
  • Bet: NRFI

Guardians at Astros: NRFI (-134 at ProphetX)

The Cleveland Guardians are 28th in the majors in OPS (.658) and they plate a run in the first inning at the lowest rate (21.35%).

Today they take on the Houston Astros who are second-last in run first inning rate (21.98%) and are missing two of their top hitters in Yordan Álvarez and Jeremy Peña. The 'Stros will have ace Hunter Brown and his MLB-best 1.82 ERA on the hill. 

The Guardians respond with prospect Joey Cantillo (3.41 ERA through 31 2/3 innings). Cantillo started the year in the bullpen but was called back to the Guardians rotation last week, throwing 3 1/3 innings of shutout ball against the Cubs. 

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    Astros - Space City Home Network, Space City Home Network (Alt.)
    Guardians - Guardians TV Presented by Progressive
  • Bet: NRFI

Mariners at Yankees: YRFI (-111 at ProphetX)

The Seattle Mariners have an OPS of .769 on the road while plating a run in the first inning in a whopping 45.5% of their away games. They should be able to get to New York Yankees righty Will Warren who has a 5.02 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP through 18 starts.

Meanwhile, the Yankees lead the majors in OPS (.790) and rank third in run first inning rate (35.6%). They will face Mariners righty Logan Gilbert. Gilbert has a 3.40 ERA through 10 starts but he has struggled away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, pitching to a 6.00 ERA with an OBA of .313 on the road. 

Gilbert also has a history of struggling against the Yankees, posting a 6.54 ERA in six career starts — including a pair of ugly games at Yankee Stadium.

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    Yankees - YES
    Mariners - ROOTNW
  • Bet: YRFI

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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