Colorado @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. This matchup is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Francisco Lindor has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 13.6% rate last season has decreased to 8.1% this year. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 44.4% to 37.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, putting up a .276 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .032 disparity.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Mickey Moniak has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Tyler Freeman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Tyler Freeman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .209 figure is deflated compared to his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.9% to 26.2%. Jacob Stallings has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .199 mark is a good deal lower than his .246 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Thairo Estrada is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .255 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .268.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Hitters such as Ezequiel Tovar with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clay Holmes who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage today. Ryan McMahon is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Ryan McMahon has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Juan Soto has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 33.6% to 40.5%. Grading out in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Hunter Goodman has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Brett Baty is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Brett Baty has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brett Baty are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Carson Palmquist. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Orlando Arcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Considering Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Starling Marte will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Starling Marte tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jordan Beck has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last season to 18.8% this season.

Luisangel Acuna's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Considering Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Luisangel Acuna will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Luisangel Acuna generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Palmquist. Luisangel Acuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's game... and even more favorably, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Luis Torrens's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and moreover, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage today. In notching a .329 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Torrens is ranked in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability.

Because of Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Tyrone Taylor will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.23 ft/sec this year, Tyrone Taylor is quite quick. Tyrone Taylor has recorded a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile.