Colorado @ New York picks
Citi Field
COL vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Hitters such as Ezequiel Tovar with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clay Holmes who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Juan Soto has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mickey Moniak o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Batters such as Mickey Moniak with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clay Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Juan Soto has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Farmer o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Kyle Farmer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last two weeks.. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 15.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage today.. Ryan McMahon is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.. Ryan McMahon has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, putting up a .276 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .032 disparity.