New York @ Boston props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup expects the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 94.1-mph mark last year has fallen off to 91.2-mph. With a 4.01 K/BB rate this year, Jarren Duran has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 19th percentile.

The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Kristian Campbell is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Alex Bregman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor has put up a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last year to 16.9% this year. Over the last 7 days, Brett Baty's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 25%.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 33.3%. In the past week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 37.5% to 52.8%.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past week, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games. Mark Vientos's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (17.9° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 11.5° seasonal mark.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge today. When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Francisco Lindor has notched a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 75th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Pete Alonso has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19% this year.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Carlos Narvaez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage today. Over the past 14 days, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph of late.

Starling Marte has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.