New York @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
NYM vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 33.3%.. In the past week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like Alex Bregman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.