Tampa Bay @ Miami props

Ronny Simon will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Ronny Simon's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Extreme groundball bats like Derek Hill are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's game. Derek Hill has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz. Javier Sanoja will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Javier Sanoja's true offensive skill to be a .302, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 disparity between that figure and his actual .264 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today. The Barrel% of Christopher Morel has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.3% last year to 18% this year. Christopher Morel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 26.2%. When it comes to his batting average, Christopher Morel has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .199 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .212.

When assessing his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Chandler Simpson can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Hitters such as Chandler Simpson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cal Quantrill who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

Junior Caminero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Extreme flyball bats like Junior Caminero generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. This game is forecasted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game. In today's matchup, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.7% rate (99th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 24.3% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today. Danny Jansen has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph figure. Danny Jansen has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Danny Jansen has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Eric Wagaman has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.6° angle in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Connor Norby is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Connor Norby has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week's worth of games. Connor Norby's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 20.3% on the season to 30.8% in the last 7 days.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Agustin Ramirez has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 33.6° launch angle standard deviation in the last week's worth of games.

The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today. Over the last week, Taylor Walls's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%. Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .248 figure is a good deal lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Extreme groundball batters like Otto Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Mervis is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage today. Matt Mervis's speed has increased this season. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.38 ft/sec now.

Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kameron Misner can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Kameron Misner has been very consistent with his in recent games, posting a 30.8° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Josh Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.