Tampa Bay @ Miami picks
loanDepot park
TB vs MIA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Christopher Morel has a ton of pop (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill struggles to strike batters out (17th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.. The Barrel% of Christopher Morel has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.3% last year to 18% this year.. Christopher Morel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 26.2%.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 24.3% this season.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz.. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Junior Caminero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Extreme flyball bats like Junior Caminero generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill today.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ronny Simon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ronny Simon will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Ronny Simon's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christopher Morel o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Christopher Morel has a ton of pop (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill struggles to strike batters out (17th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team today.. The Barrel% of Christopher Morel has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.3% last year to 18% this year.. Christopher Morel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 26.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Derek Hill o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Extreme groundball bats like Derek Hill are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's game.. In terms of power, Derek Hill is positioned in the 82nd percentile, having paced 23.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 24.3% this season.