Detroit @ Toronto Picks & Props

This year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 field in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today. Kerry Carpenter will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the worst park in the league for righty base hits. Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Bo Bichette meets a tough challenge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the worst park in the league for righty base hits. Bowden Francis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres today. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonatan Clase will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Jack Flaherty in this game. Jonatan Clase will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.4% rate last year to 24% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 42.3% to 50.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the worst park in the league for righty base hits. Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 93.6 mph to 84.9 mph. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (0.8° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 7.4° seasonal figure. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.5% to 11.1%.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, posting a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .067 difference.

Nathan Lukes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Nathan Lukes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's game. Trey Sweeney hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Trey Sweeney has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.7% to 12.1%. In the last week's worth of games, Trey Sweeney's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 93.3-mph of late. Trey Sweeney's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 13.5% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Baez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Javier Baez has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the last two weeks. This season, Javier Baez has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.5 mph compared to last year's 89.2 mph mark. In the past week's worth of games, Javier Baez's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Colt Keith will have the upper hand in today's game. In notching a .262 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Colt Keith finds himself in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game. George Springer has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 18.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement's launch angle this year (22°) is considerably higher than his 16.2° mark last season. Over the past 14 days, Ernie Clement's 51.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.3%.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Dillon Dingler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30° angle in the past 7 days.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today's matchup. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Addison Barger has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Addison Barger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Michael Stefanic hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Michael Stefanic generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Michael Stefanic will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's game. Riley Greene has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.5% seasonal rate to 26.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Spencer Torkelson has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last season to 14.2% this season. Compared to last season, Spencer Torkelson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 26.5% this season.

Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge in today's game. Zach McKinstry hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Zach McKinstry's 78.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 53.1%. Zach McKinstry has compiled a .292 batting average this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.