St. Louis @ Philadelphia props

Victor Scott II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 44% on the season to 52.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Victor Scott II has notched a .284 batting average this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 45.8% to 57%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.8°, Masyn Winn has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.6° angle in the last two weeks.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 35.5% on the season to 70% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Lars Nootbaar has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 10th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Trea Turner has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Jordan Walker will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15.4% on the season to 33.3% over the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today. In the past 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 20%.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Max Kepler has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.8-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 48.7% on the season to 87.5% in the past 7 days.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Pedro Pages will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Pedro Pages has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 14 days, Alec Bohm's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%. Alec Bohm has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .274 rate is a good deal lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Ivan Herrera will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Ivan Herrera's launch angle lately (26° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 10° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for dingers. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game. Last year, Nick Castellanos had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.4°.