The Boston Red Sox host the Cincinnati Reds in the opening matchup of this three-game interleague series at Fenway Park, and my Reds vs. Red Sox predictions target Garrett Crochet's strikeout prop in this interleague matchup.
Find out why below in my MLB picks for Monday, June 30.
Reds vs Red Sox prediction
My Reds vs Red Sox best bet: Garrett Crochet Over 8.5 strikeouts (+112 at Caesars)
⚾ Pick Analysis
Southpaw Garrett Crochet takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox as he continues to chase down Tarik Skubal in the AL Cy Young race. Crochet is in the midst of the best season of his professional career, posting a 7-4 record with a 2.06 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 17 games.
Perhaps his greatest strength is his ability to rack up strikeouts. Crochet ranks in the 82nd percentile in chase rate, 82nd percentile in whiff rate, and 91st percentile in strikeout rate. As a result, he's recorded nine or more Ks in four of his past six starts.
That trend will continue against the Cincinnati Reds. Through 13 plate appearances against Crochet, the current Reds roster has a 61.5% strikeout rate and a 44.8% whiff rate. A small sample size for sure, but you can't ignore the numbers.
Furthermore, Cincinnati ranks 24th in team strikeout rate.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Reds vs Red Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
Garrett Crochet Over 8.5 strikeouts
Red Sox moneyline
Wilyer Abreu 1+ hit
🚀 SGP Analysis
While a dominant outing from Crochet increases Boston’s chances of winning, the Red Sox still need offensive production. One of the most reliable candidates is Wilyer Abreu, who faces righty Chase Burns.
Abreu has performed much better against right-handed pitching this year, with a roughly 41% increase in OPS compared to his numbers against lefties. He also enters this matchup in good form, recording nine hits over his past nine games.
Over that stretch, Abreu is hitting .310 with a .483 slugging percentage and .816 OPS.
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Reds vs Red Sox odds
Reds vs Red Sox live odds
Reds vs Red Sox opening odds
- Moneyline: Cincinnati +158 | Boston -189
- Run line: Cincinnati +1.5 (-130) | Boston -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Reds vs Red Sox trend
Crochet has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his past six starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Reds vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Monday, 6-30-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN OH, NESN |
| Reds starting pitcher | Chase Burns (0-0, 5.40 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Garrett Crochet (7-4, 2.06 ERA) |
Reds vs Red Sox latest injuries
Reds vs Red Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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