New York @ Seattle picks

At age 32, this season marks the roughest start of Luis Castillo's career. He remains serviceable, but five years ago, expectations for him were far loftier. It's difficult for a fastball-heavy pitcher to succeed against this Yankees team. If you throw a lot of high velocity stuff, you'd better be able to induce strikeouts or soft contact, otherwise you're mostly left to relying on luck. Castillo hasn't done either this season, and that's hard to look past.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs.. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Julio Rodriguez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 18.4° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When assessing his home run ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo today... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rice has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #1 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Trent Grisham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 95.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 93.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The #1 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Will Warren. Cal Raleigh has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 18.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jasson Dominguez has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. The #1 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).