Citi Field
Matt Gorski hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Alexander Canario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Alexander Canario has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 22.9% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week. Alexander Canario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 22.9% on the season to 42.9% over the past 7 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. With a .272 batting average since the start of last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa finds himself in the 84th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Starling Marte will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball batters like Starling Marte are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 11.1%. Jared Triolo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 95.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .221 mark is considerably lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Jose Azocar will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Bats such as Jose Azocar with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Jose Azocar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Azocar is quite athletic, checking in at the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.92 ft/sec this year.
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today. Juan Soto has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 35.1% over the last two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Clay Holmes in this game. Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .071 difference.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year's 93-mph average. Over the past week, Andrew McCutchen's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.
Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .085 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Luisangel Acuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Luisangel Acuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Luisangel Acuna are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Falter. Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Bailey Falter. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Joey Bart is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Joey Bart pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Joey Bart has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 98.1-mph in the past week. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 56.9%.
Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge today. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. With a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor is positioned in the 78th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.5°, Brandon Nimmo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27° figure in the last week's worth of games.
Adam Frazier is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Adam Frazier is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Adam Frazier has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31° angle in the past week.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.2% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last 7 days. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ji Hwan Bae will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Ji Hwan Bae may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Ji Hwan Bae has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) implies that Ji Hwan Bae has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .201 actual wOBA.
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Luis Torrens will have an advantage today. Luis Torrens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .319 rate is deflated compared to his .372 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranked in the 84th percentile, Luis Torrens has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB since the start of last season (90.7-mph).
