Pittsburgh @ New York picks
Citi Field
PIT vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Clay Holmes in this game.. Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Bryan Reynolds has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .071 difference.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.. Juan Soto has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 35.1% over the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Bailey Falter.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.5°, Brandon Nimmo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27° figure in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.. Juan Soto has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 35.1% over the last two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases

Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Bailey Falter.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.. In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 11.1%.. Jared Triolo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 95.2-mph in the past week's worth of games.. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .221 mark is considerably lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.