Miami @ Chicago props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature of all games today at 59°. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Xavier Edwards is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of all teams today). Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Sanoja are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Brown. Javier Sanoja has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 2.9% seasonal rate to 8.3% over the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Connor Norby pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Connor Norby has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week. Connor Norby's launch angle recently (27.3° in the last week) is significantly higher than his 13.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Derek Hill are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Brown. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) provides evidence that Derek Hill has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average. Derek Hill's 10.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Ben Brown today. Jesus Sanchez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Michael Busch is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Valente Bellozo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an edge in today's game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Batters such as Nicky Lopez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Valente Bellozo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Nicky Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Nico Hoerner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Posting a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Nico Hoerner has performed in the 91st percentile. Posting a .281 batting average this year, Nico Hoerner is ranked in the 77th percentile.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.

The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Miguel Amaya will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Miguel Amaya's launch angle this season (21.5°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° mark last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo today. Kyle Tucker will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Agustin Ramirez has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past week. Agustin Ramirez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 96.1-mph.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today's game. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 21.4% this year. Kyle Stowers has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 20.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 14 days.

Jon Berti's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Jon Berti usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Valente Bellozo. Jon Berti will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jon Berti has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 93.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today's matchup. Matt Mervis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 96-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Carson Kelly has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last year to 17.4% this year.