Miami @ Chicago props

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today's game. Today, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (91st percentile). Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 47.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.1-mph average last year has dropped off to 84.2-mph. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.7°) is considerably lower than his 10.8° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball hitters like Jon Berti generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cal Quantrill. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jon Berti will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Connor Norby pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Connor Norby's launch angle recently (30.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 13.4° seasonal angle. Connor Norby has compiled a .324 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today. Jesus Sanchez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest among all stadiums. Agustin Ramirez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.1-mph. Agustin Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 42.1% on the season to 52.6% over the past week.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Mervis has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. In the last two weeks, Matt Mervis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill today. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Ian Happ has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Miguel Amaya has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.