Miami @ Chicago picks

Marlins right-hander Cal Quantrill has a 7.11 ERA and is facing the best offense in baseball with three lefty bats boasting an OPS above .800. Most of the damage will be done with Quantrill on the mound, but neither Miami nor the Cubs have good bullpens.

The Marlins baseball’s second-worst ERA at a massive 5.70. Righty Cal Quantrill will try to right the ship, but he’s 2-3 with a bloated 7.11 ERA. Facing the Cubs offense will be a tall task. One that he won't be up to, giving Chicago the edge to win by multiple runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today.. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.7% this season.. Kyle Stowers has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 20.7% seasonal rate to 26.5% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph lately.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Carson Kelly has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 18.2% this season.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Agustin Ramirez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.1-mph.. Agustin Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 42.1% on the season to 52.6% over the past week.. Agustin Ramirez has been hot lately, posting a a 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today.. In the last two weeks, Matt Mervis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball hitters like Derek Hill are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.