Miami @ Chicago Picks & Props

The 5th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive ability to be a .320, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .032 gap between that figure and his actual .352 wOBA. Pete Crow-Armstrong has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 4.39 K/BB rate.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today's game. Today, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.2% rate (90th percentile). Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 47.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 8th-best pitching conditions on the schedule today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Xavier Edwards is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Chicago (#2-best of all teams today). Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.1-mph average last year has dropped off to 84.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Connor Norby pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Connor Norby's launch angle recently (30.4° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 13.4° seasonal angle. Connor Norby has compiled a .324 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball hitters like Derek Hill are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jon Berti will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jon Berti has posted a .264 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.7% this season. Kyle Stowers has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 20.7% seasonal rate to 26.5% in the past 14 days.

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Miguel Amaya's launch angle from last year's 10.9° to 21.2° this year.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Agustin Ramirez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.1-mph. Agustin Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 42.1% on the season to 52.6% over the past week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill today. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 12th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today. In the last two weeks, Matt Mervis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.

Ian Happ has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.