Chicago @ New York props

Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 19.1% to 34.8%. As it relates to plate discipline, Justin Turner's ability is quite good, posting a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the last week, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games. Over the last 7 days, Dansby Swanson's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.5% rate last year to 17.4% this year.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Tucker is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luisangel Acuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Luisangel Acuna tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Boyd. Luisangel Acuna will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Juan Soto will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Bats such as Starling Marte with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Carson Kelly hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Carson Kelly has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 18.2% this year. Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 22.7%.

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 43.5% on the season to 57.1% over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. With a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Nico Hoerner has performed in the 89th percentile. Posting a .281 batting average this year, Nico Hoerner is ranked in the 77th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Mark Vientos has recorded a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Torrens will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Torrens has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .307 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .370 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Luis Torrens's 11.2% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. By putting up a .264 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jon Berti is ranked in the 81st percentile. Jon Berti ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Michael Busch may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. By putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nicky Lopez has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 87th percentile.