Chicago @ New York picks
Citi Field
CHC vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. In the last week, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games.. Over the last 7 days, Dansby Swanson's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.3%.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.5% rate last year to 17.4% this year.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Juan Soto will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Tucker is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases

Mark Vientos u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.5% rate last year to 17.4% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. In the last week, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games.. Over the last 7 days, Dansby Swanson's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.3%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Tucker is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.