DET -124 o6.0
SEA +115 u6.0

New York @ Arizona Picks & Props

NYM vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Kodai Senga logo Kodai Senga u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Mets have the best team ERA in the big leagues at 2.94, and Kodai Senga is a big reason for it. The right-hander is 3-2 in six starts with a stellar 1.38 ERA. He’s only allowed five earned runs this season while striking out 31 in 32 2/3 innings of work. Senga has cashed the Under in earned runs surrendered in every appearance in 2025. He also faced the Arizona Diamondbacks last week, giving up one earned run across 4 1/3 innings. In fact, he's carved up Arizona in his short MLB career, posting a 1.00 ERA across three outings. 

Outs Recorded
Merrill Kelly logo Merrill Kelly o15.5 Outs Recorded (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Merrill Kelly has dealt with leg cramps in two of his last three starts, which have taken him out early. He has been pitching great despite the early hooks, and I’m betting against it today and getting his Over 15.5 outs at plus money. THE BAT projects 16 outs from the Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher who has topped this number in four of his last five starts despite hitting 90+ pitches just once over that stretch. His one nine-run outing has ballooned his ERA but he has been clean across his other five starts where he has allowed two or fewer runs. It’s a home start, which is always better than on the road.

Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 20.2% this year.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 20.2% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jose Herrera logo
Jose Herrera o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Herrera generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.. Jose Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Jose Herrera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 76.3-mph to 78.3-mph over the last week.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 20.2% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.. Compared to last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 24.1% this season.
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NYM vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

68% picking NY Mets

68%
32%

Total PicksNYM 516, AZ 239

Moneyline
NYM
AZ
Moneyline

NYM vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's game. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.4% to 36.4%.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's game. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.4% to 36.4%.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Moreno tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Moreno tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 45.5% on the season to 66.7% over the past 14 days. Tyrone Taylor has notched a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 45.5% on the season to 66.7% over the past 14 days. Tyrone Taylor has notched a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Luisangel Acuna Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luisangel Acuna
L. Acuna
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Luisangel Acuna's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. In the last 14 days, Luisangel Acuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 82.2-mph over the course of the season to 85.6-mph in recent games.

Luisangel Acuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Luisangel Acuna's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. In the last 14 days, Luisangel Acuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 82.2-mph over the course of the season to 85.6-mph in recent games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Tim Tawa Total Hits Props • Arizona

Tim Tawa
T. Tawa
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tim Tawa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Tim Tawa has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

Tim Tawa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tim Tawa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Tim Tawa has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Luis Torrens has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. As it relates to his batting average, Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Luis Torrens has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. As it relates to his batting average, Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jose Herrera
J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Herrera generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Jose Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Herrera generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Jose Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Mark Vientos has posted a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Mark Vientos has posted a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 50%.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 50%.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 stadium in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders

Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders
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