LIVE Top 7th May 7
SF 3 +149 o7.5
CHC 1 -163 u7.5
LIVE Top 3rd May 7
SEA 0 -131 o9.5
ATH 3 +121 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 2nd May 7
NYM 0 -103 o9.0
AZ 0 -105 u9.0
LAD -204 o10.0
MIA +185 u10.0
TEX +124 o9.5
BOS -135 u9.5
PHI -131 o8.5
TB +121 u8.5
SD +161 o8.0
NYY -176 u8.0
CIN +104 o7.5
ATL -113 u7.5
CHW +194 o8.5
KC -214 u8.5
BAL +129 o9.0
MIN -140 u9.0
DET -149 o10.0
COL +137 u10.0
TOR -111 o8.5
LAA +102 u8.5
Final May 7
CLE 8 -104 o9.0
WAS 6 -104 u9.0
Final May 7
HOU 9 -125 o7.5
MIL 1 +116 u7.5
Final May 7
PIT 0 +160 o7.5
STL 5 -175 u7.5

Cleveland @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Manzardo
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Soroka in today's game. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 28% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.

Kyle Manzardo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Soroka in today's game. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 28% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .064 gap.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .064 gap.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bo Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (25.1°) is significantly higher than his 17.5° angle last year. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (32.7° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 25.1° seasonal figure.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bo Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (25.1°) is significantly higher than his 17.5° angle last year. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (32.7° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 25.1° seasonal figure.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as James Wood with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. James Wood will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as James Wood with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. James Wood will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Compared to last year, Brayan Rocchio has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.7% to 46.2% this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck this year. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Compared to last year, Brayan Rocchio has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.7% to 46.2% this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck this year. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Noel
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 115.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph. Over the past two weeks, Jhonkensy Noel's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 2.1%.

Jhonkensy Noel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 115.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph. Over the past two weeks, Jhonkensy Noel's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 2.1%.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. CJ Abrams has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph average.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. CJ Abrams has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph average.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. With a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Ramirez finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive ability. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .356 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. With a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Ramirez finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive ability. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .356 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

D. Schneemann
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. Daniel Schneemann has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.8% rate last season to 20.9% this year. Daniel Schneemann has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 20.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. Daniel Schneemann has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.8% rate last season to 20.9% this year. Daniel Schneemann has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 20.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (19.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.2° seasonal angle. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Angel Martinez has put up a .257 batting average since the start of last season.

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (19.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.2° seasonal angle. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Angel Martinez has put up a .257 batting average since the start of last season.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 92nd percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 92nd percentile.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.9% to 19.7%. By putting up a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Gabriel Arias has performed in the 78th percentile.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.9% to 19.7%. By putting up a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Gabriel Arias has performed in the 78th percentile.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Rosario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-375
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-375
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Amed Rosario is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Amed Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's game. Amed Rosario has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Amed Rosario with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Amed Rosario is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Amed Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's game. Amed Rosario has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Amed Rosario with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Dylan Crews's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Crews has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.7-mph.

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Dylan Crews's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Crews has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.7-mph.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.5-mph EV.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.5-mph EV.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Alex Call is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Alex Call will have an edge in today's game. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Alex Call's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alex Call is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Alex Call will have an edge in today's game. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Alex Call's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Nolan Jones will have an advantage today. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nolan Jones has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Nolan Jones has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 40° figure in the past week.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Nolan Jones will have an advantage today. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nolan Jones has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Nolan Jones has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 40° figure in the past week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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