Cleveland @ Washington props

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among all the teams on the slate today. Sporting a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Amed Rosario finds himself in the 25th percentile for offensive ability. Amed Rosario has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile with an 8.47 K/BB rate.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Soroka in today's game. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 28% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams today. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .064 gap.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as James Wood with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. James Wood will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Compared to last year, Brayan Rocchio has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.7% to 46.2% this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck this year. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 115.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph. Over the past two weeks, Jhonkensy Noel's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 2.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. CJ Abrams has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. With a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Ramirez finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive ability. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .356 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. Daniel Schneemann has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.8% rate last season to 20.9% this year. Daniel Schneemann has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 20.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (19.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.2° seasonal angle. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Angel Martinez has put up a .257 batting average since the start of last season.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. As it relates to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 92nd percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bo Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (25.1°) is significantly higher than his 17.5° angle last year. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (32.7° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 25.1° seasonal figure.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.9% to 19.7%. By putting up a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Gabriel Arias has performed in the 78th percentile.

Dylan Crews's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Crews has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.7-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.5-mph EV.

Alex Call is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Alex Call will have an edge in today's game. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Alex Call's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Nolan Jones will have an advantage today. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nolan Jones has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Nolan Jones has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 40° figure in the past week.

Josh Bell has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.