Cleveland @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre projects as the #24 venue in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Bo Bichette has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.3°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.2°) in the past 14 days.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Arias are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman. Gabriel Arias has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.2-mph average.

Rogers Centre projects as the #24 venue in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.5% to 9.8%.

Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph mark.

Steven Kwan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Steven Kwan will have the upper hand in today's game. Steven Kwan's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 45.1% to 51%.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. In the past week's worth of games, Brayan Rocchio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.3% up to 11.1%. Brayan Rocchio's launch angle recently (20.7° over the last week) is significantly better than his 8° seasonal angle. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 37.7% to 46.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) provides evidence that Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck this year with his .235 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. Bats such as Andres Gimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Gavin Williams who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Kyle Manzardo has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.5% rate last season to 16.2% this season. Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 23.9% on the season to 30.8% in the last week.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre.

Angel Martinez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Angel Martinez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 39% to 51%. Angel Martinez has posted a .256 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game. George Springer has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 95.1-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 17.7% on the season to 25% in the last week. Using Statcast data, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge today. Nolan Jones has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph EV.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Carlos Santana hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Posting a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Carlos Santana has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Ernie Clement's launch angle from last year's 16.2° to 22° this season. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance this year. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Bo Naylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (25.8°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° mark last year.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Addison Barger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph average. Addison Barger has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph.

Daniel Schneemann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Daniel Schneemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Daniel Schneemann has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4.8% rate last year to 17.6% this year. Over the last two weeks, Daniel Schneemann's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Daniel Schneemann sports a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Nathan Lukes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Nathan Lukes tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams. Nathan Lukes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph mark. Anthony Santander's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 19% on the season to 35.7% over the past 7 days.

Will Wilson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Will Wilson has posted a 68° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Tyler Heineman will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.