Cleveland @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. This matchup is projected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.3°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.2°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Addison Barger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Addison Barger has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph. Addison Barger has been hot of late, putting up a a 30% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.310) may lead us to conclude that Addison Barger has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .257 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Steven Kwan will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Compared to last year, Steven Kwan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.1% to 51% this season.

Angel Martinez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Posting a .261 batting average since the start of last season, Angel Martinez is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Kyle Manzardo has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.5% rate last season to 16.4% this year. In the past week, Kyle Manzardo's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23.9%.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Ramirez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%. Based on Statcast data, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph in recent games. Last season, Bo Naylor had an average launch angle of 17.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 25.8°.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Carlos Santana has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gabriel Arias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Extreme flyball hitters like Gabriel Arias tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Bassitt. Gabriel Arias has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.2-mph figure.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Myles Straw will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.78 ft/sec this year, Myles Straw is notably fast.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Logan Allen. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Santander has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 92.5-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitters such as Andres Gimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's game. Last season, Andres Gimenez had an average launch angle of 9.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18°.

Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Daniel Schneemann will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Daniel Schneemann has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last season to 18.8% this season. Over the last 14 days, Daniel Schneemann's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%. With a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Daniel Schneemann has performed in the 79th percentile.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past week, Daulton Varsho has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power). Daulton Varsho has been hot of late, notching a 96.1-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Ernie Clement's launch angle from last season's 16.2° to 21.9° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Brayan Rocchio has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days. Brayan Rocchio's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (19.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 13.5° seasonal figure. Compared to last season, Brayan Rocchio has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.7% to 47.5% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) suggests that Brayan Rocchio has been unlucky this year with his .235 actual wOBA.