Cleveland @ Toronto picks

Let's ride the good mojo with Toronto here as they came back from 6-0 on Wednesday to beat the Red Sox, and again on Thursday, trailing 2-0, they won 4-2. While the offense leaves plenty to be desired, a little confidence won't hurt their chances here against Loga,n who was shelled last time out for nine hits and seven runs. Give me the home side to continue their winning ways. 

The calendar has flipped to May, and along with the weather, Anthony Santander is heating up. It’s been a slow start for the Toronto Blue Jays’ prized free agent who hit just .175 in the months of March and April. That's on par for his career averages through the first month of the season. May is when Santander typically starts to come alive each year, seeing his average rise from .204 to .263 throughout his career in the month of May, averaging 1.59 bases per outing. He’s now hit safely in back-to-back outings, and hit his team-leading fourth home run of the season two days ago. 

This is a big price on the highest total that this prop gets. I have not seen a bigger price on this number, and that it’s against the light-hitting Blue Jays is just perfect. Logan Allen projects for 5.5 hits allowed on 88 pitches, making this better than a 50% win rate, per THE BAT Projection. The Cleveland starter got rocked in his last start, allowing nine hits, but he had gone Under this total in three straight starts, giving up just 11 hits in 17 innings. This is a buy to even money for me in my final MLB pick of the day.

I thought Jose Berrios would have gotten a long leash last night because the Toronto Blue Jays used a bullpen day on Wednesday, but John Schneider kept yesterday’s starter to 88 pitches despite pitching into the seventh. That pitch-count management could be on display again today with Chris Bassitt, who has hit this Under in four straight starts. The Toronto right-hander projects for 97 pitches and 16.83 outs, per THE BAT. That seems to be on the high end of the projections, as Bassitt is averaging 90 pitches per start over his last five games. The Cleveland Guardians are a team that strikes out at a low rate and can drive up the pitch count. The Jays' bullpen also only ate seven outs yesterday, so it is fresh. Bassitt’s Over 1.5 walks at -115 projects very well, too. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 field in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Ramirez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Kyle Manzardo has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.5% rate last season to 16.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 field in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 field in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph average.. Jhonkensy Noel has hit 35 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile for power.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph in recent games.. Last season, Bo Naylor had an average launch angle of 17.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 25.8°.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Kyle Manzardo has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.5% rate last season to 16.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 field in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Ramirez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Daniel Schneemann will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Daniel Schneemann has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last season to 18.8% this season.. Over the last 14 days, Daniel Schneemann's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.