St. Louis @ Cincinnati props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks. Andrew Abbott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lars Nootbaar today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan today. Brendan Donovan has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week. Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brendan Donovan has had some very good luck given the .064 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Gorman in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Typically, hitters like Nolan Gorman who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Jordan Walker has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Pedro Pages has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 21.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Andrew Abbott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Victor Scott II in today's game. Victor Scott II may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP. Victor Scott II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. In the past week, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Alec Burleson will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Alec Burleson may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge today. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an advantage in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Matz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against Steven Matz in today's game. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Austin Wynns will have the upper hand today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Austin Wynns will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Blake Dunn's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 10th-best venue in the game for right-handed batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Blake Dunn will have the upper hand today. Blake Dunn has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jake Fraley has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Yohel Pozo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.