St. Louis @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
STL vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge today.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. Andrew Abbott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lars Nootbaar today.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Gorman in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (32.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chase Petty struggles to strike batters out (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days.
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. Andrew Abbott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lars Nootbaar today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Gorman in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nolan Gorman has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (32.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chase Petty struggles to strike batters out (4th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total Bases

Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge today.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Gavin Lux o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt McLain o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in MLB for RHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge today.. Matt McLain has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.