Toronto @ Boston props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 37°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Richard Fitts will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 37°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Richard Fitts will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Easton Lucas will have the handedness advantage against Rafael Devers in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Easton Lucas will hold the platoon advantage against Triston Casas in today's matchup. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 37°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Out of all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Richard Fitts today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's matchup. Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Will Wagner with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Richard Fitts who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's game. Kristian Campbell has been hot recently, batting his way to a .474 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage against Richard Fitts in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Alan Roden's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ernie Clement has been lifting the ball well in recent games, posting a 30.5° launch angle in the past two weeks. Ernie Clement grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.9% rate since the start of last season).

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.2% to 60%. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Anthony Santander has put up a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Rob Refsnyder will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nathan Lukes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Richard Fitts today. Nathan Lukes has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bats such as Nathan Lukes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Richard Fitts who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. George Springer has been hot of late, posting a a 22.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Grading out in the 90th percentile, Connor Wong has posted a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Easton Lucas will have the handedness advantage over Wilyer Abreu in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Romy Gonzalez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Berrios. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has been hot in recent games, compiling a 93.2-mph average exit velocity over the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Kirk has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .292 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .310.

The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the same side that Easton Lucas throws from, David Hamilton meets a tough challenge in today's game. David Hamilton has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's game. David Hamilton has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 figure is considerably lower than his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyler Heineman has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.