Detroit @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .409 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very good luck given the .030 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .379.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yuli Gurriel in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Yuli Gurriel is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-largest outfield in MLB — generally bad for dingers. Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Yuli Gurriel faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Yuli Gurriel's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.18 ft/sec last year to 22.72 ft/sec currently.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Trey Sweeney has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In the last 7 days, Parker Meadows's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.

Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 18.4°, Salvador Perez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.4°) over the last two weeks. When it comes to his batting average, Salvador Perez has been very fortunate this year. His .275 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°.

Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Tommy Pham encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Tommy Pham's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 46.4% on the season to 35% in the past week.

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Andy Ibanez will have the upper hand today.

The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Dillon Dingler will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Ragans in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Matt Vierling's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Vierling is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Justyn-Henry Malloy will have an edge in today's matchup.

Michael Massey is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game. Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #2 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's game. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Hunter Renfroe will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Paul DeJong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Paul DeJong has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph EV.

The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Freddy Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV.

Maikel Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.