Philadelphia @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

American Family Field profiles as the #22 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 7th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Chourio tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Chourio's true offensive ability to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .018 gap between that mark and his actual .345 wOBA.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, Brice Turang has experienced some negative variance this year. His .259 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .291.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Cal Stevenson will have the upper hand in today's game. Cal Stevenson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cal Stevenson has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 26.18 ft/sec to 27.24 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Trea Turner has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Willy Adames will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.

The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand today. There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott's launch angle from last season's 9.9° to 14.5° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 18.9%. Over the past 14 days, Nick Castellanos's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.8%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Sal Frelick will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15% seasonal rate to 32.1% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. J.T. Realmuto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 44.5% on the season to 64.3% in the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Johan Rojas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 86.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's game. Brandon Marsh is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.4% rate this year).

Blake Perkins is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Blake Perkins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Blake Perkins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Alec Bohm has compiled a .301 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. This year, Alec Bohm has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 75th percentile.

Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Gary Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.