Detroit @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Reese Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr.'s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 93-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 90.9-mph in the past 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .378, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .029 deviation between that figure and his actual .407 wOBA.

Reese Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Salvador Perez has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .275 rate is inflated compared to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling in today's game. Matt Vierling has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Matt Vierling has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days. Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Reese Olson throws from, Tommy Pham encounters a tough challenge today. Today, Tommy Pham is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (94th percentile). In the last week's worth of games, Tommy Pham's 30% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.2%.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Jake Rogers's launch angle lately (10° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 16.3° seasonal angle. Jake Rogers's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (23.2°) is a significant increase over his 19.6° angle last season.

Parker Meadows is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Parker Meadows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. This season, Zach McKinstry has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.9 mph compared to last year's 88 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Trey Sweeney has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the past two weeks.

Freddy Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Among every team playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson today.

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reese Olson in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Among every team playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jace Jung will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo today. Jace Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 51.2% on the season to 75% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Paul DeJong has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.