Chicago @ Colorado Picks & Props

Javier Assad will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck this year. His .318 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283. Ezequiel Tovar has shown weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 0th percentile with a 9.62 K/BB rate.

Batting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. In the past week, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%. Brenton Doyle's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.8-mph in the past 7 days. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, notching a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .035 disparity. As it relates to plate discipline, Brenton Doyle's talent is quite poor, putting up a 3.64 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Michael Busch has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 91.6-mph over the past week.

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 42.4% on the season to 30.8% in the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) provides evidence that Seiya Suzuki has had positive variance on his side this year with his .274 actual batting average.

Ranking in the 25th percentile, Ryan McMahon has put up a .231 batting average this year.

Javier Assad will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Brendan Rodgers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 19.7% to 11.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.286) implies that Brendan Rodgers has been very fortunate this year with his .311 actual wOBA. With a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brendan Rodgers is positioned in the 20th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cody Bellinger today. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 43.4% to 38.4%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.239) may lead us to conclude that Cody Bellinger has been lucky this year with his .268 actual batting average.

Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dansby Swanson today. Over the past week, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%. Dansby Swanson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 77.1-mph over the last week. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 44.5% on the season to 26.7% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best park in the league for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Beck will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 86.9 mph to 82 mph. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 13.8% on the season to 0% over the last week.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his worse side (0) today against Austin Gomber Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%. Ian Happ's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 94.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best park in the league for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game. Hunter Goodman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Michael Toglia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year's 91-mph average.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best park in the league for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best park in the league for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage over Austin Gomber in today's game. Miguel Amaya's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.1-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense. This game is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Patrick Wisdom will have an advantage today. Patrick Wisdom's launch angle this year (27.6°) is quite a bit better than his 21.5° mark last year. Since the start of last season, Patrick Wisdom's 18.9% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.