St. Louis @ Toronto Picks & Props

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for 10% of the time. Rogers Centre projects as the #22 park in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game. Alec Burleson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst venue in the league for RHB batting average. This game is expected to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this year (6.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.2° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Joey Loperfido has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 91.7-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today's matchup. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Addison Barger's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 88.4-mph in the past 14 days. Addison Barger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 16.7% on the season to 25% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage today.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Utilizing Statcast data, Masyn Winn grades out in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274. Masyn Winn has compiled a .271 batting average this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph lately. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 45.5% on the season to 70% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Paul Goldschmidt has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Will Wagner is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Will Wagner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today. Will Wagner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Will Wagner will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Daulton Varsho has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.4% to 15%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark. Over the last 7 days, Lars Nootbaar's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, George Springer's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 93.2 mph to 87.5 mph.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Pedro Pages has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key ability for batting average), ranking in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 19.8% on the season to 23.7% over the past 14 days. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ernie Clement and his 19.8% rank in the 93rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance given the .031 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. Sporting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, Alejandro Kirk has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.