Tampa Bay @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Jose Siri's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) implies that Jose Siri has experienced some negative variance this year with his .269 actual wOBA.

In the league, Progressive Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez's launch angle from last season's 12.9° to 9.3° this year. With a .278 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andres Gimenez is ranked in the 13th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Andres Gimenez's skill is quite poor, posting a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Junior Caminero has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.3 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), grading out in the 97th percentile.

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has had positive variance on his side given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage today. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Jhonkensy Noel has notched a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 11th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jose Caballero is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .318 BABIP this year, Jose Caballero grades out in the 80th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage today. Kyle Manzardo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Kyle Manzardo's launch angle recently (27.7° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 23.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. This season, Bo Naylor has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.1 mph compared to last year's 90.7 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Brayan Rocchio's 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Taylor Walls has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark. Taylor Walls's launch angle of late (25.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 19.4° seasonal angle. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 87th percentile with a 19.4° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jonathan Aranda's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 22.2% up to 35.7%. Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 93.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 91-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in MLB for lefty base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Logan Driscoll will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's matchup.

Dylan Carlson has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.