Cleveland @ Chicago Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Miguel Vargas's launch angle this year (19.9°) is a considerable increase over his 16.6° figure last year.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-driest conditions on the schedule today at 40%. Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez's launch angle from last year's 12.9° to 9.5° this year. Grading out in the 15th percentile, Andres Gimenez has posted a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-driest conditions on the schedule today at 40%. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez today. Over the last 7 days, Jose Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. Jose Ramirez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 80-mph in the past week's worth of games. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 38.8% on the season to 44.4% in the past week's worth of games.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-driest conditions on the schedule today at 40%. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Steven Kwan's 34.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.5%. Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has been very fortunate given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

David Fry is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. David Fry's launch angle in recent games (34.8° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 19.4° seasonal angle. By putting up a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, David Fry is positioned in the 79th percentile. Posting a 2 K/BB rate this year, David Fry has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage against Emmanuel Clase today. Andrew Benintendi has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Andrew Benintendi will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Emmanuel Clase throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an edge in today's game. Dominic Fletcher has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dominic Fletcher will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.5% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the last week's worth of games. Over the past week, Dominic Fletcher's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.1%.

Jacob Amaya has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Amaya will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.3°, Jhonkensy Noel has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.5° angle in the past two weeks. Jhonkensy Noel has recorded a .364 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Bryan Ramos will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.89 ft/sec this year, Bryan Ramos is notably fast.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Lane Thomas has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week's worth of games. Over the past week, Lane Thomas's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today's game. Kyle Manzardo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage today. In the past week's worth of games, Andrew Vaughn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 21.4%.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Korey Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Korey Lee has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph mark. Korey Lee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 41.6% on the season to 47.1% in the past two weeks. As it relates to his batting average, Korey Lee has experienced some negative variance this year. His .213 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Brayan Rocchio has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Brayan Rocchio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph in recent games. Over the past week, Brayan Rocchio's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.4%.

Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Emmanuel Clase throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an advantage today. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. Nicky Lopez's launch angle this year (5.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 0.2° figure last year.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Luis Robert Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luis Robert Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.1-mph.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Emmanuel Clase throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 36.5% to 45.5%.

Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.2°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 35.7° mark in the past week.

Daniel Schneemann has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.