Atlanta @ Washington Picks & Props

Gio Urshela is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gio Urshela today. Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks. Gio Urshela's quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.24 ft/sec now.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, James Wood will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Tena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Jose Tena will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Crews has been hot recently, posting a a 13.9% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last 14 days. Dylan Crews has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks lately, averaging 97.5-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Jacob Young sits with a .322 BABIP this year.

Luis Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Luis Garcia will have an advantage today. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Michael Harris II faces a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has posted a .279 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile. Posting a 4.54 K/BB rate this year, Michael Harris II has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez today. Joey Gallo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Joey Gallo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an advantage in today's game. Marcell Ozuna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last season's 96.5-mph figure.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Andres Chaparro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 16.7%. Andres Chaparro has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Orlando Arcia will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last 14 days, Orlando Arcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph lately. There has been a significant improvement in Orlando Arcia's launch angle from last year's 5.5° to 9.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Sean Murphy will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Sean Murphy has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 96.2-mph. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sean Murphy has had some very poor luck given the .047 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Ramon Laureano will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Ramon Laureano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 19.4% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°. Luke Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.