Cleveland @ Chicago Picks & Props

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days. Jose Ramirez's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 80-mph in the past 7 days. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 38.8% on the season to 44.4% in the last week's worth of games. As it relates to his batting average, Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year. His .271 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

27% of the time that Will Brennan has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Will Brennan has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Will Brennan's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.4-mph in the last 7 days. Checking in at the 21st percentile, Will Brennan has posted a .272 BABIP this year.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 44.5% on the season to 34.2% in the past 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive ability to be a .308, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 gap between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Emmanuel Clase will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Robert Jr. today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Clase's large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Andrew Benintendi has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Korey Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Emmanuel Clase will have the handedness advantage over Korey Lee today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Clase's large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Emmanuel Clase will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Clase's large platoon split. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. In the last 7 days, Brayan Rocchio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 22.2%. Brayan Rocchio has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 19.4% on the season to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 27.3%.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Emmanuel Clase will have the handedness advantage over Lenyn Sosa in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Clase's large platoon split. Lenyn Sosa has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has suffered from bad luck this year. His .245 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

David Fry is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.4°, David Fry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 34.8° mark in the past 14 days. Ranking in the 79th percentile, David Fry has posted a .337 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Emmanuel Clase will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Amaya today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Clase's large platoon split. Jacob Amaya has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game. Andres Gimenez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 92.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Jared Shuster throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Manzardo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster today. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bo Naylor's launch angle of late (35.7° in the last week) is considerably higher than his 20.2° seasonal angle.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jhonkensy Noel's launch angle lately (24.5° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 20.3° seasonal mark. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Jhonkensy Noel has posted a .364 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Corey Julks is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions on the slate. Considering Emmanuel Clase's large platoon split, Corey Julks will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. Corey Julks will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Daniel Schneemann has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.