Minnesota @ Kansas City Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. This season, Matt Wallner has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.7 mph compared to last year's 97.1 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trevor Larnach has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 90.1-mph mark. Trevor Larnach has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 88.6-mph in the past 7 days.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. In the last week, Edouard Julien's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

Brooks Lee is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 44.9% on the season to 61.5% in the last week's worth of games. Brooks Lee has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .283 figure is considerably lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Zebby Matthews will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .379, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .417 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Royce Lewis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans today.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cole Ragans. In the past week, Carlos Santana's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 18.8%.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's game. Michael Massey is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Hunter Renfroe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Willi Castro has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 91-mph. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.3%.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's game. Freddy Fermin has put up a .328 BABIP this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Christian Vazquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game. Christian Vazquez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 94.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Christian Vazquez's launch angle this season (16.9°) is quite a bit better than his 9.6° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Maikel Garcia's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Maikel Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Miranda is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Miranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's matchup.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today. In the past week, Ryan Jeffers's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.8%.

Austin Martin's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Austin Martin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) provides evidence that Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance this year with his .250 actual batting average.

Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans today. Kyle Farmer's launch angle this season (17.1°) is a considerable increase over his 13° mark last year.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage today. Paul DeJong has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 19% in the past two weeks.

The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Yuli Gurriel's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 86th percentile.