Cleveland @ Kansas City Picks & Props
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CLE vs KC Props
Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
28% of the time that Will Brennan has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Will Brennan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%. In the last 14 days, Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 88.7 mph to 73.4 mph.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best out of every team playing today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.3°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) in the last 14 days. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, putting up a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .038 gap.
Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The deepest RF fences among all parks are found in Kauffman Stadium. Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Andres Gimenez's launch angle this season (9.1°) is considerably worse than his 12.9° angle last year. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 43.7% on the season to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games. By putting up a .275 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andres Gimenez has performed in the 12th percentile.
Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 88.7-mph in the last week. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 44.3% to 39.1%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) suggests that Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year with his .275 actual batting average.
Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.6°, Steven Kwan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5°) in the past 14 days. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, posting a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .037 difference.
Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Bo Naylor will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Jhonkensy Noel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Maikel Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage today.
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When estimating his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's matchup.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has put up a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
CLE vs KC Trends
Cleveland Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 63 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 138 games (+10.22 Units / 6% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.50 Units / 57% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 55 away games (-18.40 Units / -28% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 away games (-17.95 Units / -26% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 32 away games (-11.60 Units / -30% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 9 away games (-7.85 Units / -62% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 7 away games (-4.10 Units / -57% ROI)
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games at home (+10.34 Units / 12% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 68 games at home (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 68 games at home (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games at home (-17.70 Units / -22% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 56 games (-14.00 Units / -21% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 39 games (-12.85 Units / -30% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-7.65 Units / -15% ROI)
CLE vs KC Top User Picks
Cleveland Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +18995 |
| 2 | HJLOPEZ | 8-2-0 | +16210 |
| 3 | mindsusan12 | 6-2-2 | +14485 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-5-1 | +14215 |
| 5 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +13685 |
| 6 | RebelTell2 | 7-3-0 | +13150 |
| 7 | allan6 | 7-2-1 | +12945 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 4-6-0 | +12845 |
| 9 | midway1942 | 6-3-1 | +12570 |
| 10 | BRUNOD | 8-2-0 | +12486 |
| All Guardians Money Leaders | |||
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||