Baltimore @ Colorado Picks & Props

Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Emmanuel Rivera in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera and his 6.6° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 17th percentile, among the lowest in MLB this year.

Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eloy Jimenez today. In the last two weeks, Eloy Jimenez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%. Eloy Jimenez's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 92-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 89.5-mph over the last 14 days. Eloy Jimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (2.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 6° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#2-best on the slate today). Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Anthony Santander's 29% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.4%.

Among every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Adley Rutschman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the last week. In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°.

Zach Eflin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year. His .322 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281. Ezequiel Tovar has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 0th percentile with a 9.65 K/BB rate.

Austin Slater has been pinch hit for 23% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Brendan Rodgers will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 19.7% to 11.8%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Rodgers has had positive variance on his side this year. His .323 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .296. Brendan Rodgers has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 10th percentile with a 4.72 K/BB rate.

James McCann is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup. This year, James McCann has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. James McCann will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. James McCann's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.1-mph EV last year has decreased to 89.5-mph.

Zach Eflin will hold the platoon advantage over Brenton Doyle in today's matchup. Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has been lucky given the .044 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan McMahon's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge today.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Drew Romo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Cedric Mullins II may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, compiling a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .022 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Jake Cave's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Jake Cave will have the upper hand today.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

20% of the time that Ryan O'Hearn has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today. Among every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O'Hearn today. Over the past 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°.