Miami @ San Francisco Picks & Props
MIA vs SF Picks
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MIA vs SF Consensus Picks
77% picking San Francisco
Total PicksMIA 137, SF 468
60% picking Miami vs San Francisco to go Over
Total PicksMIA 209, SF 138
MIA vs SF Props
Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mike Baumann will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 15.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 8.3% in the last 7 days. Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, posting a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .030 difference.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game.
Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Fitzgerald is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tyler Fitzgerald will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
Griffin Conine is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Griffin Conine will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb today.
Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mike Baumann throws from, Brett Wisely will have an edge today. Brett Wisely will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Norby's launch angle lately (32.5° in the past week) is a significant increase over his 17.3° seasonal angle.
Grant McCray Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mike Baumann throws from, Grant McCray will have the upper hand in today's game.
Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today's game. Casey Schmitt has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph EV. Casey Schmitt's launch angle this year (19.8°) is a considerable increase over his 14.9° figure last season.
Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mike Baumann throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. As it relates to plate discipline, Jonah Bride's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Despite posting a .233 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side given the .035 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .268.
Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
David Hensley Total Hits Props • Miami
The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. David Hensley has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, David Hensley has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .220 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .244.
LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
Derek Hill's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Derek Hill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Derek Hill has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Burger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.1-mph.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Otto Lopez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.
Curt Casali Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Curt Casali will hold that advantage today. Curt Casali's footspeed has increased this year. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.33 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Curt Casali's true offensive skill to be a .278, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .045 difference between that figure and his actual .233 wOBA.
Jerar Encarnacion Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jerar Encarnacion has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jerar Encarnacion will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIA vs SF Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.45 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 109 games (+14.10 Units / 12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 41 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 136 games (-30.56 Units / -17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 44 games (-23.85 Units / -47% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 109 games (-23.35 Units / -20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 66 away games (-23.05 Units / -30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 136 games (-19.40 Units / -14% ROI)
San Francisco Trends
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games at home (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games at home (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 105 games (+5.45 Units / 4% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 130 games (-25.30 Units / -17% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 109 games (-20.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 134 games (-11.60 Units / -7% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 81 games (-9.75 Units / -9% ROI)
MIA vs SF Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
San Francisco Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
| 2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
| 3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
| 5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
| 6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
| 8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
| 9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
| 10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
| All Giants Money Leaders | |||