Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Alec Bohm has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days. Over the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 90.5 mph to 84.2 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.4°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Bryce Harper is in the 87th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .276.

Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Orlando Arcia's launch angle from last year's 5.5° to 9° this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Whit Merrifield is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Whit Merrifield has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 86.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 84-mph average. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 14.6% on the season to 30.4% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge today. Matt Olson has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Michael Harris II has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 40% in the last 7 days. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Ramon Laureano has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 88-mph figure. Ramon Laureano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Last year, Ramon Laureano had an average launch angle of 13.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jorge Soler has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 2.04 K/BB rate.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Johan Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Johan Rojas's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.12 ft/sec now.

Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Hays has put up a .322 BABIP this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Travis d'Arnaud is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 109-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last year's 96.5-mph EV. In the last 14 days, Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.7-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Gio Urshela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 87.4-mph mark. In terms of his batting average, Gio Urshela has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.32 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very toolsy.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Weston Wilson will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Weston Wilson's quickness has increased this year. His 26.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.8 ft/sec now.