Boston @ Detroit Picks & Props

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive talent to be a .340, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .031 gap between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

Among all major league parks, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest. Tanner Houck will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Matt Vierling has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 3.3% over the last two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Matt Vierling's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

Rafael Devers has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest LF fences today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has been lucky this year. His .387 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351.

Mickey Gasper is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Over the last 7 days, Mickey Gasper's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 75% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball bats like Spencer Torkelson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 84°. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Rogers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Jake Rogers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96-mph over the past two weeks.

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Romy Gonzalez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 98.3-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Wong has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 93-mph in the past week's worth of games. Connor Wong has put up a .346 BABIP this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 90.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Parker Meadows has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Parker Meadows will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split.

Jace Jung is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Jace Jung will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Trey Sweeney will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today's game.

Comerica Park projects as the #8 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Zach McKinstry will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.